One of my lingering curiosities regarding Marvel Studios, now
that they’ve proven to Hollywood
what dorks like me have known for over twenty years, is how Sony and Fox might react to the success of The Avengers..
Here’s how I think it would play out:
1) The Amazing
Spider-Man will come out later this summer – and while not being nearly as
successful as The Avengers will still
be a profitable hit – but after paying back what they spent making the film,
what they spent promoting the film and what they owe Marvel for use of their
product, Sony will look at their revenue and realize that they’ve got less than
Paramount and of course Disney.
2) Wanting more money, Sony will approach Marvel Studios and
propose a deal…$100 million (or some other outrageous amount) to give
Spider-Man back free-and-clear, or $25 million (or some other significantly
smaller amount) for Spider-Man but with a
percentage of future movie profits.
Only in Hollywood …
3) Marvel Studios would want to take the $25 million deal,
but Disney would step in and choose the $100 million option.
4) Seeing this – Fox would get into the action and offer a
similar deal for Fantastic Four. But knowing that the FF aren’t enough to seal
the deal, Fox would also throw in
Elektra and Daredevil (unless they’ve already been sold back, I honestly don’t
know) and various elements of X-Men to “sweeten the pot”. Fox would be stupid
to let Wolverine, Xavier, Emma Frost, Magneto and Deadpool go, but possibly The New
Mutants, maybe Cable and the Shi’ar.
5) Disney would again step in, and with Fox hammer something
out eventually.
Not sure how it would work, but anything that brings more
characters back into Marvel Studios’ hands is a win because…
In Marvel Studios I
Trust
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